Forecast Discussion

8:15 AM CDT Friday, May 25, 2012

Later today, we will have to monitor the dryline across far Western Oklahoma and Northwest Texas. The cap will be strong into the afternoon hours, but by 5:00 PM, it should weaken. If it is able to weaken sufficiently for a few storms, there will be a threat for severe weather. I am not expecting this to be anything real significant, but should storms fire, be alert. The SPC has placed a Slight Risk from the far E Texas Panhandle and Western Oklahoma into far Northwest Texas with low-end probs extending through West Central Texas. Some towns that could see a stray storm late today or this evening include Woodward, Altus, Childress, Aspermont, and Big Spring. Any severe threat should subside by 10:00 PM as the cap strengthens with the loss of daytime heating.

Northwest TX & Western OK Severe Threat

Large Hail and Damaging Winds will be the primary hazards with any severe cells. High cloud bases (LCL’s) suggest that the Tornado threat will be on the lower side, despite favorable EHI values across the Slight Risk area by early evening. This threat will need to be monitored, however. For the latest updates, check out our Facebook and Twitter pages!

1300z SPC Day 1 Outlook Valid May 25, 2012